The New England Patriots will play in the AFC Championship Game again, which is a statement that feels so ordinary and so plain now. Their greatest accomplishment in an era led by head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady is that they’ve made continued dominance seem routine.
We’ve reached the point where an AFC title game without the Patriots would feel utterly surreal. After pancaking the Tennessee Titans 35-14 on Saturday, the Patriots will appear in their seventh consecutive conference championship.
In a league where the margin for error is minuscule, the Patriots have, at worst, given themselves a shot at another conference title in seven straight years. That alone is incredible, and it means they also have an opportunity to add a sixth championship—and third over the past four years—as their offense grows deeper and more dynamic each passing week.
It’s a unit led by a 40-year-old quarterback, an MVP contender who’s already thrown the third-most regular-season touchdown passes among QBs his age or older. The Patriots can ride Brady’s arm, and they’ll do that happily.
But what’s added an extra gallon or two of nightmare fuel to the Patriots offense is that Brady doesn’t have to be the hero all the time. No, that title can belong to running back and all-purpose fireball Dion Lewis.
His rapidly emerging presence throughout the second half of the season and now into the playoffs has changed the character of the Patriots offense by adding a few more sticks of dynamite. He’s become the catalyst, and his explosive chunk plays keep rocking defenses.
Just ask the Titans. Lewis finished with 141 yards from scrimmage in a game that felt over by halftime.
His performance in the divisional round wasn’t some sudden flash soon to be followed by a fizzle. Dating back to the end of the regular season, it was Lewis’ third straight game with 130-plus yards from scrimmage.
|Dion Lewis’ production over his last three games|
|Week 16 vs. Bills||129||24||153|
|Week 17 vs. Jets||93||40||133|
|Divisional round vs. Titans||62||79||141|
Before Saturday’s game reached laugher territory, Lewis had a 31-yard reception to set up the Patriots’ first touchdown. On that drive, he sprinted and juked his way to 56 yards from scrimmage. In the second quarter alone, the 27-year-old recorded 82 total yards.
This is probably a good time to remember that Lewis offers supersized strength in a small package. He’s only 5’8″ and 195 pounds, but heaving any defender in his path always seems possible.
Often enough, it is possible, and it ends in both physical and pride-based wounds.
What the Sports @realwtsports
This GIF confirms that Dion Lewis, who is 5′ 8”, has super human strength #NEvsBUF https://t.co/dXhAqzpo4p
Lewis either powers through contact or deftly swerves around it, leaving sprawled would-be tacklers in his wake.
He had 68 yards after contact against the Bills in Week 16, according to Pro Football Focus. Then he repeated that act of creating yardage on his own when it mattered most, reeling off 58 yards after the catch in just the first half against the Titans, again per PFF.
Lewis became a launching point for the Patriots offense as his role grew beyond being used as just a gadget or a passing-down weapon. As The Ringer’s Danny Kelly recently noted, over the final six weeks of the regular season, Lewis posted eight runs for 15-plus yards, which was second only to the Raiders‘ Marshawn Lynch over that stretch.
He’s the lit fuse for an offense that already had its cornerstone in Brady and closer in tight end Rob Gronkowski. It was Lewis who caught the long pass to kick off a 21-point second quarter that eventually propelled New England past the Titans. And it was Lewis who had already crossed the century mark in total production by halftime, meaning the Patriots’ chances of winning were already looking pretty damn good.
NFL Research @NFLResearch
The Patriots are 7-0 when Dion Lewis gains 100+ scrimmage yards With over 10 minutes remaining in the 3rd quarter, Lewis has 121 scrimmage yards
Lewis and fellow running back James White combined to produce 108 receiving yards and a touchdown through the air out of the Patriots’ backfield Saturday. A repeat performance—and an emphasis on screens and short passes—could place a heavy hammer in the Patriots’ hand again during the conference championship regardless of the opponent.
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Jacksonville Jaguars have swarming defenses, particularly up front with their lethal pass rushes. But they’ve both been vulnerable to some extent against pass-catching running backs.
According to Football Outsiders, both teams are allowing an average of 40-plus receiving yards per game to the position in 2017. The Steelers, who are the other AFC heavyweight, were especially poor in that area, giving up 47.4 receiving yards per game to running backs.
Lewis can keep being the jab in the Patriots’ offense then, while Brady (337 passing yards against the Titans with three touchdowns) and Gronkowski (six receptions, 81 yards and a touchdown) combine to be the firm, overpowering uppercut.
Put it all together, and we see the image of an offense and a team peaking at the right time, one game away from playing for a Super Bowl ring. It’s an all-too-familiar picture, the one we’ve seen for seven straight years.